The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates in September has risen to 82.5%, and there may be another 25 basis point cut in October.

2025-08-12 12:30:20

[Block Rhythm] On August 12, according to Fed observations: the probability of the Fed keeping the interest rate unchanged in September is 17.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 82.5%.

The probability that the Fed will maintain the interest rate unchanged in October is 6.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 41.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 52.0%.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

9 Likes