DOGE ( DOGE ) is facing a 51% Attack threat with a big dump of 5%: Whale is buying the dip with 680 million coins, and the key support in the future market is seen at $0.21.

Due to the Qubic Blockchain Community's vote to designate it as a potential 51% attack target, the price of DOGE dropped significantly on Tuesday. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the background of this blockchain security risk event, the buying behavior of whales (accumulating 680 million DOGE in August), the weakening confidence in the derivation market (with open contracts decreasing by 8%), and key technical levels, offering investors a comprehensive analysis of DOGE market trends and trading strategy references.

Event Driven: Security Threats Trigger Market Panic

The sharp decline of DOGE is mainly due to sudden security concerns. The Qubic Blockchain Community passed a proposal on its governance forum to direct computing power towards the DOGE network, which could trigger a coordinated 51% Attack. The organization had previously implemented similar actions against the Monero network (XMR), successfully disrupting its block production. This news caused a severe shock in the DOGE community, with traders rapidly pricing in the suddenly heightened security risks of the cryptocurrency, leading to panic selling.

Market Performance and Price Action: Volume Surge and Key Levels Under Pressure

In the past 24 hours (from August 19, 06:00 to August 20, 05:00), the price of DOGE fell by 5%, dropping from $0.22 to $0.21. The most intense sell-off occurred between 13:00 and 15:00 UTC on August 19, during which DOGE plummeted from $0.22 to $0.21, with a trading volume of 916 million tokens, reaching twice the 24-hour average level. From a technical perspective, $0.22 has become a strong resistance area due to multiple rejections, while $0.21 has become a key support level before the Close Position. During the nighttime trading session, DOGE fluctuated narrowly between $0.2120 and $0.2130, ultimately closing at $0.2124, reflecting market uncertainty rather than recovery momentum.

On-chain data: Whales accumulate against the trend while confidence in derivation declines

Despite facing security threats, DOGE whales (large holders) demonstrated a strong accumulation intention in August, accumulating 680 million DOGE, indicating that large players remain optimistic about its long-term value. However, the derivatives market reveals different signals. The total open interest of DOGE futures contracts decreased by 8%, indicating that leveraged bulls are closing positions, and market confidence in short-term profits is weakening, which usually suggests insufficient upward momentum in the short term.

Market Outlook: Key Factors Traders Are Watching

The future trend will depend on several key variables:

1. Will the attack be implemented: The market is closely watching whether Qubic will actually execute its attack plan on DOGE after successfully disrupting Monero.
2. Long and Short Game: The accumulation of Whales and the panic selling by retail investors create a confrontation. It is crucial whether the big players will fully defend the key support level of $0.21.
3. Derivation market signals: Whether the continuous decline of open contracts will stop falling and rebound is a key indicator of market confidence recovery.
4. Directional Breakthrough: Whether the price can decisively break through the resistance of $0.22 or fall below the support of $0.21 will provide a clear signal for the direction choice in the next stage.

Conclusion

The current DOGE market is in a fierce tug-of-war between safety panic and a long-term bullish belief. The short-term price trend heavily depends on the follow-up developments of the Qubic attack threat; if concerns ease, the massive accumulation by whales may provide strong support for the price. However, if security risks significantly escalate or the overall market continues to weaken, there is a risk of the price dropping below $0.21 and testing $0.208. Investors should closely monitor on-chain whale dynamics and changes in news, manage risks cautiously, and wait for the market to choose its final direction.